Decisions
1 h

PrOACT

Build a decision in five parts — problem, objectives, alternatives, consequences, trade-offs — so that each can be checked separately.

Time cost
1 h
Output
A consequences table in natural units.
Steps
5
Run it — Weighted matrix

Use when

  • A decision is large enough to deserve structure but has no obvious method.
  • You need to hand your reasoning to someone else and have it survive.
  • You keep circling the same choice without progress.

Do not use when

  • The decision must be made in the next hour.
  • Only one objective matters. Then it is an optimisation, not a trade-off.

Inputs required

  • A problem statement you are willing to revise
  • Time to write

Procedure

  1. 01

    Problem

    State it as a question. Test the boundary by asking why this problem and not the one behind it — then stop deliberately at one level up, not five.

  2. 02

    Objectives

    List what you want, in your own words, before looking at any option. Separate fundamental objectives from means to them: “be near good schools” is a means; “the children do well” is fundamental.

  3. 03

    Alternatives

    Generate options that serve the objectives. Anything that serves none is not an alternative, it is a distraction.

  4. 04

    Consequences

    Build a table: alternatives down the side, objectives across the top. Fill each cell with what actually happens, in the natural unit — pounds, minutes, risk of failure — not a score out of ten.

  5. 05

    Trade-offs

    Now reduce. Delete any alternative beaten on every objective. Then trade objectives against each other until one option stands.

Characteristic failure mode

Writing objectives after seeing the alternatives. The objectives then describe the option you already preferred, and the table confirms a choice it never tested.

Worked example

A small team is choosing between three suppliers.

  1. 01Problem: which supplier for the next twenty-four months.
  2. 02Objectives, written first: unit cost, lead time, failure rate, ease of exit.
  3. 03Consequences in natural units: £4.10 / 6 days / 1.2% / 90-day notice, and so on.
  4. 04One supplier is worse on all four and is deleted without scoring.

Result

Two remain, separated only by cost against lead time. That is now an explicit trade to make rather than a vague preference.

Where to go next

Also cited by
Decision quality chain