Decisions
1–3 days

Red-teaming

Assign someone to argue against the decision with real authority and real stakes, so the counter-case gets made by someone who benefits from making it well.

Time cost
1–3 days
Output
A written counter-proposal and point-by-point responses.
Steps
5

Use when

  • A decision is large and the group agrees too easily.
  • The person proposing is senior enough that dissent is costly.
  • An adversary or a competitor will respond to the decision.

Do not use when

  • The role is nominal. A devil’s advocate with no stake produces objections everyone can dismiss.
  • The decision is already made and the exercise is for the record.

Inputs required

  • A named person or team
  • Access to the same information
  • A real consequence for the red team’s performance

Procedure

  1. 01

    Name the team before the proposal is final

    Appointing a red team after a decision produces a review, not a test.

  2. 02

    Give them the same information

    A red team working from less than the proposers have is arguing against a strawman of the proposal.

  3. 03

    Give them a stake

    This is the step that decides whether the exercise works. The red team must be rewarded for finding a real flaw, and must not be penalised for finding one.

  4. 04

    Make them build the alternative

    Not just criticism. Require a competing recommendation, which forces the objections to be serious enough to build on.

  5. 05

    Force a written response

    The proposers answer each objection in writing. Objections that cannot be answered become conditions or tripwires on the decision.

Characteristic failure mode

Ritual dissent. Everyone knows the red team is playing a role, so its objections are heard politely and change nothing. The exercise then adds confidence without adding scrutiny — worse than not running it.

Worked example

A community group is about to sign a five-year lease.

  1. 01Two members are asked to argue for not signing and to produce an alternative plan.
  2. 02They are given the full financials and three weeks.
  3. 03Their alternative — two shorter leases in sequence — is costed and presented.

Result

The five-year lease is still signed, with a break clause the red team’s analysis showed was worth negotiating for. The alternative lost, and it changed the terms.

Where to go next

Also cited by
When a group is worse than one person